It was one of those funny things that in the back of my mind it really sounded too good to last…

Guess what happened today? (click on the image to see the full chart)

I had been scaling in my position as was over exposed. Luckly I got out quickly (did I mention the value in a Stop Loss?).

I met a great person on the weekend who would say “what is the blessing?” (if you are not spiritual, then you should ask yourself, what is the lesson?)

I have noticed that I do get a little caught up in these things. Remember, I did enter at $3.28. If I ever write a book on Trading it will be called “Emotional Mastery” because before you can trade well, you must master your emotions…

Rock on!

Merry Christmas!

From Wikipedia:

Support

A support level is a price level where the price tends to find support as it is going down. This means the price is more likely to “bounce” off this level rather than break through it. However, once the price has passed this level, even by a small amount, it is likely to continue dropping until it finds another support level.

Resistance

A resistance level is the opposite of a support level. It is where the price tends to find resistance as it is going up. This means the price is more likely to “bounce” off this level rather than break through it. However, once the price has passed this level, even by a small amount, it is likely that it will continue rising until it finds another resistance level.

To me, this is similar to Head and Shoulders, Moving Averages or Stockastics. While I will use these types of indicators to put a stock on my watchlist, I would never use these as a Buy or Sell trigger.

My preference is always Market Depth. This is what I saw when I pulled up Lihir Gold.

Whenever I’m looking at Market Depth, I always do some very rough math. At the first level (3.28/.29) there are about 2/3 sellers.

At the 2 levels, it roughly even (just as many buyers as sellers), at the 3rd level, its almost 3 times.

This screenshot was taken today at a little after midday.

The next one is the same stock, an hour later:

Ok so a quick look here.  At the 1st level, there are over twice as many buyers as sellers.  And that story continues all the way down…

So what does tell us?  I’m going long LGL!

Now with all the Oil for Food enquiry etc. etc. etc. I just can’t see this stock going anywhere except south!

If you look at it over the last couple of months that is exactly where its gone! But if you look at the daily there is a LOT of volume.

So SOMEONE is propping up that puppy! What does that mean to us? Well, I wouldn’t be putting my super fund in it, but there could be some good short term trading there…

I’m going to keep an eye on it…

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Overall that gives us a total of 18% and an average of 3.1%

Not bad considering the most you would have lost was less than 1%!

And THAT was in 5 days…

I like to wipe the slate clean and start again, but if you had these stocks, you sure as hell would keep them! (Especially WA News (WAN) )

Good hunting!

Background – the last 2 weeks the ASX 200 hasn’t moved much. There’s a nice trend since Feb 2003 and the last couple of weeks is bring the market back in line.

So here’s my list. (A buy is triggered when the trading price hits the buy in amount.)

Good hunting!