Adobe, iPhone & Flash part 2

From Scoble

 This doesn’t surprise me in the least…

iPod, Flash & Scoble??

I read this morning Rober Scoble’s post regarding the iPod and Flash. A quick summary:

On a week when Microsoft landed a big deal to put Silverlight on Nokia phones, Apple’s CEO, Steve Jobs, tells Adobe that there won’t be Flash on the iPhone.

I remember reading that an iPod will never have pictures. That an iPod will never have video and I remember how long it took for Apple to get on the whole Podcast band wagon.

I agree with Socble that this is an opportunity for Silverlight etc. but if I was Adobe I wouldn’t be slashing my wrists just yet.

I see there are three ways this could go:

  1. Apple could team up with someone and provide an alternate to Flash
  2. The market could just write a version  of Flash and hook it in
  3. Apple could just do nothing

It is very unlikely that option 3 will happen.  So it’s either 1) or 2).

Apple didn’t embrace Podcasts, the market went forth anyway. Option 2) is a possibility.  Google has a big investment in Flash (YouTube etc).  Commercially, there is a lot of potential for Google and Adobe to combine and come up with something.

Apple teaming up with someone else???  The “someone else” would really have to change the way they work.  Microsoft?  Its possible…  My bet is still with the 2nd one.

We’ll see!